Was the interest burden of the Ottoman public debt sustainable? A cliometric analysis
[ X ]
Tarih
2024
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Emerald Group Publishing Ltd
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to determine whether the Ottoman Empire's net interest payments and foreign debt were sustainable or not in terms of their burden on budget revenues, using the method of historical econometric analysis.Design/methodology/approachIn this study, the period between 1847 and 1882 of the Ottoman Empire is analyzed for sustainability analysis. Within the framework of the study, unit root tests and econometric analysis methods frequently used in the literature were used to analyze the sustainability of public debt. In the econometric analysis, in addition to various unit root tests, current econometric analysis methods, in particular Fourier expansion, were also used.FindingsThe results of econometric analyses showed that the burden of interest payments and foreign debt on the budget of the Ottoman state was unsustainable. This situation clearly shows the reason for the official bankruptcy of the Ottoman Empire, which was declared in 1875.Practical implicationsAlthough this study reveals the bankruptcy process of an important structure such as the Ottoman Empire in the historical process through econometric analyses, it also gives a very important message to today's states. Accordingly, today's state policies and decision-making mechanisms should take these results into account and strive to make the burden of public interest payments sustainable. It is believed that the study will shed light on the public finance policies of today's states by drawing lessons from the collapse process of the Ottoman state.Originality/valueUnlike the historical assessments in the literature on the decline of the Ottoman Empire, this study presents a cliometric approach by applying current econometric analysis techniques to past historical data. The study explains the unsustainability of the Ottoman Empire's interest payments and external debt burden in the period under consideration in a way that, to the best of the authors' knowledge, has not been done before.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Ottoman state, Public debt, Public interest payment, Sustainability
Kaynak
Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research
WoS Q Değeri
N/A
Scopus Q Değeri
Q2
