Assessment of multidimensional drought vulnerability using exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity components

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Tarih

2023

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

Springer

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess

Özet

This study provides a method for analyzing the drought-vulnerability index (DVI) from a multidimensional perspective that includes biophysical and social aspects, considering the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) assessment. The proposed method generates the exposure index (EI), sensitivity index (SI), and adaptive capacity index (ACI) components of the proposed DVI using nine sub-indicators and 29 proxy variables. By using it throughout all of Turkey's provinces, the performance of the developed index was evaluated. In this study, the decision matrices were built utilizing expert knowledge, and the weights of the indicators and variables were obtained by using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique. Moreover, the values of these four indices were classified as very high, high, moderate, low, and very low, and their geographical distribution across the country was drawn, as well as relevant patterns retrieved. The study's major results show that 17 of the 81 provinces are classified as very high, 16 as high, 15 as moderate, 17 as low, and the remaining 16 as very low drought vulnerable. Another significant result is that the majority of people in the country's south, center, and southeast rely on agriculture and are thus more vulnerable to drought due to socioeconomic underdevelopment in those regions.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Adaptive-capacity, AHP, Drought, Exposure, Sensitivity, Turkey, Vulnerability

Kaynak

Environmental Monitoring and Assessment

WoS Q Değeri

Q3

Scopus Q Değeri

Q2

Cilt

195

Sayı

10

Künye