FOR PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELS, DOES TÜRKIYE SERVE AS A CLIMATE CHANGE SHELTER FOR Lacerta diplochondrodes ?

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dc.authoridKAYA, NILGUN/0000-0002-7494-5029
dc.contributor.authorKaya, Nilgun
dc.contributor.authorOzuluo, Oya
dc.contributor.authorTosunoolu, Murat
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-27T20:29:31Z
dc.date.available2025-01-27T20:29:31Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentÇanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractClimate change is a serious threat to biodiversity. In the future, this threat will also determine the distribution of the species. The ecological niche modelling studies enable us to predict suitable habitat areas for each species according to the interaction of climate and taxa in the past, present, and future. The aim of this study was to investigate the possible effects of climate change on the Lacerta diplochondrodes species, which is distributed in Europe and T & uuml;rkiye. Applying the ecological niche model, suitable habitats of the species were projected in the Last Glacial Maximum, current and future. The future climate scenarios in the 2050s and 2070s, we used BCC-CSM1-1, GISS-E2-R, HADGEM2-AO, MIROC5, and MPI-ESM-LR with rcp2.6 and rcp8.5. The suitability of habitats was projected to decrease by 10.56 - 13.53% depending on the scenario with rcp2.6 and by 21.83 - 35.99% depending on rcp8.5 in the future. In future climate scenarios, it is estimated that suitable habitat areas will decrease in Europe, while suitable habitat areas in T & uuml;rkiye will remain largely unchanged. As part of the conservation efforts of this species in Europe, we recommend that monitoring and conservation studies be undertaken as soon as possible. In T & uuml;rkiye, it is recommended that the region from the south of Central Anatolia towards the Aegean region should be studied primarily to minimize habitat loss due to climate change in the future.
dc.description.sponsorshipRe-search Fund of Istanbul University [22978]
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was supported by the Research Fund of Istanbul University (project No. 22978) . We would like to thank Assoc. Prof. Dr. Hakan Guer of Anatolian Biogeography Research Laboratory, K & yacute;r & thorn;ehir Ahi Evran University, K & yacute;r & thorn;ehir, Tuerkiye for his recommendations and support in the ecological niche modelling. We would like to thank Prof. Dr. Yusuf Kumluta & thorn; of Dokuz Eyluel University, Faculty of Science, Department of Biology for providing samples from their zoological collection for this study.
dc.identifier.doi10.30906/1026-2296-2024-31-2-79-94
dc.identifier.endpage94
dc.identifier.issn1026-2296
dc.identifier.issue2
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85193724217
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3
dc.identifier.startpage79
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.30906/1026-2296-2024-31-2-79-94
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12428/22968
dc.identifier.volume31
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001223292000004
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherFolium Publ Co
dc.relation.ispartofRussian Journal of Herpetology
dc.relation.publicationcategoryinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_WoS_20250125
dc.subjectAnatolia zoogeography
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectconservation
dc.subjectLacerta diplochondrodes
dc.subjectmaxent
dc.titleFOR PAST, PRESENT, AND FUTURE ECOLOGICAL NICHE MODELS, DOES TÜRKIYE SERVE AS A CLIMATE CHANGE SHELTER FOR Lacerta diplochondrodes ?
dc.typeArticle

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