PRICE ESTIMATION OF SELECTED GRAINS PRODUCTS BASED ON MACHINE LEARNING FOR AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN TÜRKİYE

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dc.contributor.authorKeskin, Abdulkadir
dc.contributor.authorErsin, Irfan
dc.contributor.authorAtalan, Abdulkadir
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-27T20:14:32Z
dc.date.available2025-01-27T20:14:32Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentÇanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractThis study aims to estimate the price fluctuations of essential grain products, namely bread wheat (Triticum aestivum), durum wheat (Triticum durum), barley (Hordeum vulgare), and corn (Zea mays), in T & uuml;rkiye using machine learning (ML) algorithms. Using data from January 2, 2020, to January 10, 2023, the study employs algorithms such as random forest (RF), neural network (NN), support vector machine (SVM), and linear regression (LR). Independent variables include oil prices, currency exchange rates, and grain production volumes. The random forest (RF) algorithm provided the best results with the highest R2 values, while NN and LR showed relatively lower performance. The study highlights the significant impact of production and consumption volumes on grain prices and underscores the importance of ML algorithms in predicting these prices amidst changing conditions. Investments in agricultural technologies should be increased to improve data collection and analysis processes, as this is crucial for preventing price fluctuations in the agricultural sector.
dc.identifier.doi10.36899/JAPS.2024.5.0811
dc.identifier.endpage1302
dc.identifier.issn1018-7081
dc.identifier.issn2309-8694
dc.identifier.issue5
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85209904344
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3
dc.identifier.startpage1290
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.36899/JAPS.2024.5.0811
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12428/21127
dc.identifier.volume34
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001356639900019
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/A
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherPakistan Agricultural Scientists Forum
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Animal and Plant Sciences-Japs
dc.relation.publicationcategoryinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_WoS_20250125
dc.subjectAgricultural products
dc.subjectgrains
dc.subjectdurum wheat
dc.subjectbread wheat
dc.subjectcorn
dc.subjectbarley
dc.subjectmachine learning algorithms
dc.subjectprice estimation
dc.titlePRICE ESTIMATION OF SELECTED GRAINS PRODUCTS BASED ON MACHINE LEARNING FOR AGRICULTURAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN TÜRKİYE
dc.typeArticle

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