The land use-climate change-biodiversity nexus in the perceptions of European islands stakeholders

dc.authorid0000-0002-3349-1470
dc.authorid0000-0003-4542-9276
dc.authorid0000-0001-7071-6950
dc.authorid0009-0004-6981-2231
dc.authorid0009-0009-8582-6170
dc.contributor.authorMoustakas, Aristides
dc.contributor.authorChristoforidi, Irene
dc.contributor.authorZittis, George
dc.contributor.authorDemirel, Nazli
dc.contributor.authorFois, Mauro
dc.contributor.authorZotos, Savvas
dc.contributor.authorGallou, Eirini
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-03T12:02:45Z
dc.date.available2026-02-03T12:02:45Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.departmentÇanakkale Onsekiz Mart Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractTo promote climate adaptation and mitigation strategies, it is crucial to understand the perspectives and knowledge gaps of stakeholders involved in functions affected by or addressing land use and climate changes. A large number of stakeholders across 21 European islands were consulted regarding their views on climate change and land use change issues affecting ecosystem services on their island. Climate change characteristics perceptions included variables such as temperature, precipitation, humidity, extremes, and wind. Land use change characteristics perceptions included deforestation, coastal degradation, habitat protection, renewable energy facilities, wetlands and other variables. Other environmental and societal problem perceptions such as invasive species, water or energy scarcity, problems in infrastructures or austerity were also included. Climate and land use change impact perceptions were analysed with machine learning to quantify their importance on the perception outcome. For example if a stakeholder perceives that pollution, coastal degradation, deforestation, precipitation decrease, and increase of humidity are occurring on the island, and austerity is the biggest problem how likely is that the impact of climate change or land use change will be quantified by the stakeholder as negative, unclear, neutral, or positive? The predominant climatic change characteristic is related with temperature, and the predominant land use change characteristic with deforestation. Water-related problems are top priorities for stakeholders. Energy-related problems, such as energy deficiency but also wind and solar energy facilities problems, rank high as combined climate change and land use change risks. Stakeholders generally perceive climate change impacts on ecosystem services as negative, with natural habitat destruction and biodiversity loss identified as the top variables. Land use change impacts are also negative but also more complex to explain, with a higher number of explanatory variables associated with the impact outcome. Stakeholders have common perceptions regarding climate change and land use change impacts on the benefits of biodiversity despite the geographic disparity. Stakeholders differentiate between factors related to climate change impacts and land use change impacts. Water, energy, and renewable energy related issues pose serious concerns to island stakeholders and management measures are needed to address them.
dc.description.sponsorshipCOST Action SMILES [CA21158]
dc.description.sponsorshipComments from two anonymous reviewers considerably improved an earlier manuscript draft. This research was supported by the COST Action SMILES (CA21158) : Enhancing Small-Medium IsLands resilience by securing the sustainability of Ecosystem Services.
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108199
dc.identifier.issn0195-9255
dc.identifier.issn1873-6432
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-105027517434
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108199
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12428/34858
dc.identifier.volume117
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001599088600001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ1
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier Science Inc
dc.relation.ispartofEnvironmental Impact Assessment Review
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_WOS_20260130
dc.subjectImpact assessment
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectLand use change
dc.subjectIslands
dc.subjectEcosystem services
dc.subjectMachine learning
dc.titleThe land use-climate change-biodiversity nexus in the perceptions of European islands stakeholders
dc.typeArticle

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