An assessment of the effects of climate change on annual streamflow in rivers in Western Turkey
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Tarih
2018
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Inderscience Enterprises Ltd
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
Global warming and its impacts are known to cause serious problems in sustainability of natural resources. In this study, change-point analysis and trend analysis were applied to climatic (temperature, precipitation, evaporation) and streamflow data for Tuzla, Gediz and Buyuk Menderes rivers. Box-Jenkins technique and ARIMA model were used for trend analysis. Results showed that there were decreases in streamflow of all rivers. The paper suggests that climate change effects on streamflow could be changeable and that many factors (anthropogenic effects, geographical location, agricultural activities) should be considered. Management strategies specified regionally are required to mitigate the potential climate change effects.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
climate change, streamflow, trend analysis, change-point analysis, Turkey
Kaynak
International Journal of Global Warming
WoS Q Değeri
Q4
Scopus Q Değeri
Q3
Cilt
15
Sayı
2
