FUTURE PROJECTION OF OLIVE PRODUCTION IN ÇANAKKALE
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Tarih
2020
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
Global warming is one of the most important problems in the world due to its effects not only onhuman life but also on agricultural products and food safety, sustainability, and water resources. Thepresent study aims to investigate the influence of climatic changes on olive cultivation in North-WestTurkey for the next 50 years. In this context, the data were collected from 182 coordinates in olivecultivation areas in Çanakkale which is situated at the intersection of the Euro-Asian region. The datawere analysed using MaxEnt software to determine the projection of olive cultivation for the next 50years. The results show that the optimistic scenario is (representative concentration pathways) RCP2.6 (2070) while the pessimistic scenario is RCP 8.5 (2070) for Çanakkale olive cultivation. When theresults were compared with the current conditions of Çanakkale, the RCP 2.6 scenario indicated thatpotential olive cultivation areas would mostly be protected. On the other hand, according to the worstscenario, these areas would decrease in size. All of the scenarios, however, show that olive cultivationareas will spread towards the mountainous areas of Çanakkale. Additionally, total olive cultivationareas in Çanakkale will increase depending on climatic changes in 2070. In conclusion, even ifclimatic changes may lead to an increase olive production yield, their effects on olive and olive oilquality are unknown.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Bahçe Bitkileri, Çevre Bilimleri
Kaynak
Journal of scientific reports-A (Online)
WoS Q Değeri
Scopus Q Değeri
Cilt
0
Sayı
44
